2019年1月14日星期一

4.0 Observing Object Conversion - Observing Self (1)

As of now, the articles focus on the things outside the trader's own: concepts, propositions, strategies, and so on. These contents are all about how traders observe and summarize things outside of themselves. It is also worth noting that traders have a clear commonality: they do not involve discussion of thinking or actors, that is, they do not discuss the people and groups involved.

The process of making choices and value judgments for external things involves how people gain experience and use experience.

The first step in people's experience comes first from the observation of nature. In the observation of nature, human beings find that objects that can be observed by humans for a long time must have laws. This is also called "Natural is also inevitable".

With the deepening and summarization of observing natural things, human beings have gradually acquired the ability to adapt and transform the natural world. The experience that human beings will gain in this process forms certain theorems, and the habits and culture of thought gradually form, making more and more external information clear. People are nervous when they are faced with uncertainty. Only by mastering these phenomena and being able to use or modify these phenomena will they be relieved of tension. For example, through the transformation of the four seasons of spring, summer, autumn and winter, human beings can obtain certain factors and arrange labor and rest, so that the society can be stable and long-term development.

As human development progresses, observable things become huge and complex. These observable things include:


  • Human participation and non-participation will not affect the occurrence of things (such as spring, summer, autumn and winter);
  • Human participation does not affect the occurrence of things, but participation will change the situation of things (such as dredging the river and benefiting from flooding);
  • There is another type of thing that does not happen if humans don't participate (such as financial transactions).
(To be continued...)

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2019年1月10日星期四

4.0 角度转换——观察自我

截至到目前,文章把探讨的焦点都放在了交易者自身之外的事物:概念、命题、策略等。这些内容都是围绕着交易者如何对自身之外的事物进行观察和总结而展开探讨。另外值得交易者特别注意的是,这些内容有一个明显的共性:这些内容没有涉及到对思考或行为主体的探讨,也就是没有对参与其中的人和集体进行探讨。



人们对外在事物的取舍判断,涉及到人们如何获得经验,并使用经验的问题。
人们获得经验的第一步首先来自于对自然界的观察。人类在对自然的观察中,发现凡是可以被人类长期观察的对象必然存在规律,这也就是所谓的“自然的也是必然的”。
随着观察自然事物的深入和总结,人类渐渐具备了适应和改造自然界的能力。人类在此过程中将获得的经验形成某些定理,进而思维习惯和文化也就逐渐形成,使得越来越多的外在信息变得明确起来。人们面对不确定现象时会感到紧张,只有掌握了这些现象,并有能力使用或改造这些现象,才会消除紧张感。例如通过对春夏秋冬四季的转换掌握,人类获得确定的因素并可安排劳作和休息,使得社会得以安定长期发展。
随着人类发展的历程,可观察的事物变得庞大和复杂起来。这些可观察的事物包括:

  • 人类不参与也会发生,参与也不会改变的事物(例如春夏秋冬);
  • 人类不参与也会发生,参与后会改变事物发生的状况(例如疏通河道后利于洪水通过);
  • 还有一类人类不参与就不会发生的事物(例如金融交易)。

金融交易作为人类独有的一种活动,从本质上看该活动已经脱离了“自然的就是必然的”这一规律。虽然金融交易依托于经济运行,经济运行依托于物质条件,物质条件依托于自然条件,但是金融交易已经成为了混合了自然条件和人类活动的综合体。而这个综合体中,人类活动明显成为了主导成分。
这种活动因为远离“必然”形成的条件,因此其中充满了大量不确定因素,使得参与其中的交易者经常感到紧张和焦虑。
交易者如果要减少这种紧张和焦虑,就需要对金融交易这个复杂的综合体中的个人以及集体行为进行细心观察和思考,从他人的感受或经历中吸取实际的经验避免重复性错误。


经过学习和观察他人的经验,交易者接下来需要对自身的行为进行观察与反思,用以检查自己获得的经验和可能重复的他人重复过的错误,这样不断学习和思考的结果可有效指导自己的交易行为。


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2019年1月5日星期六

3.7 Discussion on "learning" and "thinking"

The formulation of a trading strategy is based on the trader's learning and thinking. Different traders focus on these two aspects, and even some traders focus too much on one aspect, so that they produce deviations that they have never noticed.

  • Too much focus on learning

The process of self-growth of any trader can't be separated from the experience of learning from predecessors and others. This approach and process makes it necessary for learners to be influenced by historical experience.

There are countless established trading strategies in history. If each strategy is a "good strategy" for a specific individual trader, then not many people in the real trading environment are in anxiety and annoyance. Therefore, when a trader faces the summary of others, it is necessary to constantly ask a question. Is this strategy really a "good strategy"? If it is really a "good strategy", is this strategy suitable for me? If I think this is a good strategy, should I use the test method to verify?

In the actual trading environment, few traders verify the established trading strategies in history, and even some traders use a strategy that they see or hear as the only standard without any verification. Used, but most of the results are not satisfactory, and even bring great risks.

  • Too much thinking

Some traders, after having some knowledge related to financial transactions, then spend almost all their energy on "thinking", thinking about how trading strategies are built, thinking about how to quickly capture opportunities, thinking about what might happen next, etc. .

Everyone at work or in life wants to be recognized for their own value (or from the outside world or from themselves), which is no exception in trader development trading strategies. When a "too much thinking" trader independently develops a trading strategy, because the strategy is developed independently by the trader, and the trader has already learned the other knowledge, this makes the trader in the strategy test or In practice, the strategy is more likely to have a repulsive psychology that ignores certain phenomena that are contrary to the expectations of the strategy in testing or practice, or from some explanation to convince me that the strategy is still valid.

Traders need to treat the "learning" and "thinking" aspects in a balanced manner, so that the established strategy is in an "open" and "rigorous" environment, which is conducive to further improvement of the strategy.

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3.7 对于“学习”和“思考”的探讨

一个交易策略的制定建立在交易者学习和思考的基础上。只是不同的交易者在这两方面侧重不同,甚至有的交易者过于侧重某一方面,以至于产生了自己都不曾察觉的偏差。

  • 过于侧重学习

任何一个交易者都脱离不了通过学习前人和他人经验这个途径,进而使得自我不断成长的过程。这个途径和过程使得学习者免不了要受到历史经验的影响。

历史上既成的交易策略数不胜数,如果每一个策略对于具体的个人交易者而言都是“好的策略”,那么现实的交易环境中也就没有多少人处于焦虑和困恼中了。因此当交易者面对他人的总结时,要不断的追问一个问题,这个策略真的是一个“好的策略”吗?如果真的是一个“好的策略”,这个策略适合我吗?如果我认为这是一个好的策略,我应该使用检验方法去进行验证?

而在实际交易环境中,很少有交易者去验证历史上既成的交易策略,甚至有些交易者在没有任何验证的情况下,就把看到或听到的某个策略当作唯一的标准并加以使用,不过大多数结果都不能获得满意,甚至带来了极大的风险。

  • 过于侧重思考

有些交易者在具备了一部分与金融交易相关的知识后,接下来几乎把全部的精力用在了 “思考”,思考交易策略如何建立,思考如何快速捕捉机会,思考接下来可能会发生的事宜等等。

每个人在工作或生活中都希望得到对自身价值上的认同(或从外界或从自身),这在交易者开发交易策略中也不例外。当“过于侧重思考”的交易者独立开发出一套交易策略时,因为这个策略是交易者独立开发的,同时交易者对于其他知识的学习已经默然,这使得这样的交易者在策略检验中或者策略实际应用中反而更容易有一种排斥心理,这种排斥心理以至于在检验或实践中漠视某些同策略预期相悖的现象,或者通过某种解释来自我说服以说明该策略依然有效。

交易者需要对“学习”和“思考”这两方面保持平衡的态度加以对待,这样就可以让已经制定好的策略处于“开放”和“严谨”的环境中,有利于该策略进一步完善。

更多文章,请浏览“中文版目录

4.0 Observing Object Conversion - Observing Self (1)

As of now, the articles focus on the things outside the trader's own: concepts, propositions, strategies, and so on. These contents are ...